Resilient fossil-free goods transport system (REFOG)

The transition to a fossil-free goods transport system is necessary to avoid a climate crisis. It is however not enough to have a fossil-free goods transport system; it must also be designed so that it can continue to function under duress. Parts of the goods transport system are critical for the functioning of Swedish society. Hence, the future goods transport system must be both fossil-free and resilient.

Resilience is the capability of a system to adapt to surprises and disruptions. The goods transport system must be able to handle different disruptions such as extreme weather events and pandemics, but also disruptions that may occur due to the worsening geo-political conditions surrounding Sweden. The purpose of the REFOG pre-study is to determine whether fossil-free goods transport systems can also be designed so that they become resilient, and how this should be done

REFOG will consider one aspect of the goods transport system, viz., the fuel supply system and in particular infrastructure for electrified goods transport systems. One result of the interviews and analysis performed is that this is too narrow a focus: follow on studies must include also other energy sources and carriers.

The goods transport system is modelled as a system of systems, and analyzed using system-theoretic methods.